Tag: DRC

  • Marc Rich and Glencore: The Fugitive Who Built the World’s Largest Commodity Trader

    In 1983, a federal grand jury in New York indicted Marc Rich on 65 criminal counts — income tax evasion, wire fraud, racketeering, and trading with Iran during the hostage crisis in violation of U.S. sanctions. The potential sentence exceeded 300 years. It was the largest tax evasion case in American history at the time, prosecuted by a young federal attorney named Rudolph Giuliani. Rich learned of the indictment, flew to Switzerland, and never returned. He stayed on the FBI’s Ten Most Wanted Fugitives list for years, narrowly escaping capture in Finland, Germany, Britain, and Jamaica. He didn’t even return for his daughter’s funeral in 1996. And on January 20, 2001 — his last day in office, among 140 pardons and commutations — President Bill Clinton gave Marc Rich a full and unconditional pardon. The New York Times called it “a shocking abuse of presidential power.” Jimmy Carter said the pardon was “disgraceful.” The company Rich built from his exile in Zug, Switzerland, had by then become the largest commodity trading firm on earth. It is still operating. Its name is Glencore.

    The invention of modern commodity trading

    Rich was born Marcell David Reich in Antwerp in 1934. His Jewish family fled the Nazis through Vichy France, Spain, and Portugal, arriving in the United States aboard the liner Serpa Pinto. He dropped out of college in New York and went to work in the mailroom at Philipp Brothers, then the world’s dominant metals trading house. He was a prodigy. By his mid-twenties he was making deals across Europe; by his thirties he was Phibro’s top producer. In 1973, during the OPEC oil embargo, Rich figured out how to bypass the cartel’s ban on sales to the United States, buying cargoes from one company and reselling them to another on a short-term basis. He essentially invented the crude oil spot market — the system of buying and selling individual cargoes of oil outside of long-term contracts that defines global oil trading to this day.

    Furious over his compensation, Rich left Phibro in 1974 with his partner Pincus “Pinky” Green and founded Marc Rich + Co. AG in Zug, Switzerland. The choice of Zug was not incidental. Swiss law at the time drew a distinction between tax evasion (a civil matter) and tax fraud (a criminal matter). Switzerland interpreted its neutrality doctrine so strictly that it declined to enforce many international trade embargoes. And Zug’s tax rates were among the lowest in Europe. Rich had found the jurisdiction that would let him trade with anyone, pay minimal taxes on the proceeds, and resist extradition from the country whose laws he was breaking.

    The sanctions portfolio

    Rich traded with everyone the United States told its citizens not to trade with, and he was explicit about why. “You can’t run a business based on sympathies,” he told his biographer Daniel Ammann. “Otherwise our business would be hampered.” The client list reads like a sanctions compliance officer’s nightmare: Iran during and after the hostage crisis, apartheid South Africa, Cuba under Castro, Libya under Gaddafi, Ceaușescu’s Romania, Pinochet’s Chile, Sandinista Nicaragua, Marxist Angola.

    The Iran-South Africa oil pipeline was his masterpiece of sanctions arbitrage. Iran, post-revolution, was under U.S. embargo and couldn’t easily sell its crude. South Africa, under UN sanctions for apartheid, couldn’t easily buy oil. Both were desperate — Iran to sell, South Africa to buy. Rich positioned himself as the only trader willing to bridge the two pariah states, extracting enormous margins from both sides because neither had alternative counterparties. The structural logic was identical to what made BCCI valuable to its clients: when legitimate channels are closed, the middleman who operates outside the law captures the entire spread. Rich’s companies earned an estimated $2 billion from these trades alone.

    Rich also served as an asset for Israeli intelligence. He reluctantly acknowledged in interviews with Ammann that he had assisted the Mossad, a claim confirmed by a former Israeli intelligence officer. Rich financed Mossad operations and supplied Israel with strategic quantities of Iranian oil through a secret pipeline arrangement. This dual role — private businessman and intelligence asset — would become critical to his pardon. When the pardon effort began, it was coordinated by Avner Azulay, a former high-ranking Mossad agent who had been running Rich’s philanthropic foundations in Israel since 1993. Azulay persuaded Rich’s ex-wife Denise to appeal directly to Clinton. He also enlisted Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Barak to call Clinton on Rich’s behalf.

    The pardon

    The mechanics of the pardon are the part that connects Rich to the Shadowcraft thesis. Denise Rich — who had divorced Marc in 1996 — donated $450,000 to the Clinton Presidential Library Foundation and over $100,000 to Hillary Clinton’s Senate campaign. Leonard Garment, Nixon’s former special counsel, represented Rich. Scooter Libby — later convicted in the Plame affair, later pardoned by Trump — served as Rich’s attorney until 2000. The lobbying campaign deployed former intelligence officials, Israeli heads of state, and major Democratic donors in a coordinated effort to secure clemency for a man on the FBI’s Most Wanted list.

    Clinton’s defense was that the charges were better adjudicated through civil rather than criminal procedure. Eric Holder, then deputy attorney general, later testified that if he had known all the facts, he would not have recommended the pardon. Congress launched a bipartisan investigation. The episode became shorthand for the proposition that wealth and political connections can purchase outcomes the justice system was designed to prevent — a proposition that Rich’s entire career had already demonstrated through commodity markets rather than courtrooms.

    What Rich built — and what it became

    In 1993, Rich sold Marc Rich + Co. to his management team. They renamed it Glencore. Under CEO Ivan Glasenberg — who had joined the firm in 1984 and worked his way up through the South African coal trading desk — Glencore became the world’s largest commodity trading company and one of the largest publicly traded companies on earth. It went public in 2011 and merged with mining giant Xstrata in 2013, creating Glencore Xstrata (later just Glencore), a vertically integrated behemoth that trades and mines copper, cobalt, zinc, nickel, coal, oil, and agricultural commodities across every continent.

    Rich died in 2013 in Switzerland. He was 78. He was buried in Israel. But the corporate culture he built — the willingness to trade with sanctioned regimes, the use of intermediaries and shell structures to obscure transactions, the treatment of bribery as an operating expense — survived him. In May 2022, Glencore pleaded guilty in the United States to one count of conspiracy to violate the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act. The company admitted to paying more than $100 million in bribes to government officials in Nigeria, Cameroon, Ivory Coast, Equatorial Guinea, Brazil, Venezuela, and the Democratic Republic of Congo between 2007 and 2018. Separately, it pleaded guilty to commodity price manipulation. The combined penalties across U.S., UK, and Brazilian proceedings exceeded $1.1 billion. In August 2024, Swiss authorities convicted Glencore of “inadequate organisation” leading to corrupt mine deals in the DRC, imposing an additional $152 million penalty.

    The DRC case is the one that illustrates the mechanism. Glencore used Dan Gertler — an Israeli businessman and mining middleman now on the U.S. sanctions list — to negotiate mining deals with the government of then-president Joseph Kabila. When Glencore acquired a majority stake in Kamoto Copper Company, one of the world’s largest copper-cobalt mines, Gertler negotiated a $440 million discount on the signing bonus. Glencore paid $140 million instead of $585 million. The difference — money that should have gone to the Congolese state — disappeared into the gap between what Glencore paid and what the asset was worth. Gertler continues to receive tens of thousands of dollars daily in royalty payments from these mines. Glencore’s $180 million settlement with the DRC covers “all present and future claims” from 2007 to 2018, buying permanent immunity from further prosecution for a fraction of the revenue the mines generate in a single year.

    The accounting line item for bribes in Glencore’s 1990s-era books was labeled “useful expenses.” That phrase tells you everything about the continuity between Marc Rich + Co. and the company that inherited its culture.

    What it means

    Marc Rich invented modern commodity trading. He also invented the modern template for sanctions evasion as a business model — positioning yourself in the jurisdictional gap between the countries imposing sanctions and the countries subject to them, using Swiss neutrality and corporate opacity as infrastructure, and treating the legal risk as a cost of doing business rather than a constraint on behavior. Russia’s shadow fleet runs on the same structural logic Rich pioneered in the 1970s: find the parties who can’t trade through legitimate channels, insert yourself as the intermediary, extract the premium, and structure the operation through jurisdictions that won’t enforce the sanctions. The shell company architectures are the same. The flag-of-convenience registries are the same. The willingness to treat enforcement risk as a pricing input rather than a moral constraint is the same.

    Rich died wealthy, pardoned, and free. Glencore paid $1.1 billion in fines and kept operating. The Congolese communities that lost hundreds of millions in mining revenue have received a fraction in opaque settlements. The system Rich built — where the intermediary captures the value and the source country absorbs the loss — is the system the Shadowcraft course is designed to make visible. Not because it’s secret. Because it’s legal enough to survive prosecution and profitable enough that the fines are a line item.

    We cover Marc Rich alongside BCCI, Crypto AG, Wagner Group, and 20 other case studies of covert institutional power across our Shadowcraft course — where “useful expenses” is the two-word summary of how the world actually works.

  • Cobalt, Coltan, and Conflict Minerals: The State of Play in 2026

    In January 2025, the M23 rebel group—backed by Rwanda and approximately 10,000 Rwandan troops, according to UN investigators—seized Goma, the capital of North Kivu province in the eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo. More than 3,000 people were killed in less than two weeks of fighting. An estimated 2,400 Congolese soldiers surrendered en masse. Over 150 female inmates were raped and burned to death during a jailbreak in the chaos. M23 then advanced south and captured Nyabibwe, another mining hub, less than a year after seizing Rubaya—a site that harbors one of the world’s largest deposits of coltan and supplies roughly 15 percent of global tantalum production.

    In February 2026, landslides collapsed several artisanal coltan mines at Rubaya, killing at least 227 workers. It was the fourth deadly landslide Global Witness had documented at the site in 18 months. The miners were working in territory controlled by M23. The coltan they extracted was being transported into Rwanda—more than 120 tonnes per month, according to UN experts—where it was laundered and exported as Rwandan product to China, Europe, and the United States. Some of it is in the device you’re reading this on.

    That last sentence isn’t rhetoric. It’s supply chain arithmetic. The DRC produces approximately 70 percent of the world’s cobalt and holds roughly 60 percent of global coltan reserves. These minerals are essential components in the lithium-ion batteries that power electric vehicles, smartphones, laptops, and advanced weapons systems. The International Energy Agency projects that global cobalt demand will quadruple by 2030. The connection between a mine collapse in North Kivu and a phone in your pocket is not metaphorical. It is three to four intermediaries long, and nearly a billion dollars vanishes from the legal supply chain annually through the middlemen who mix illegally sourced minerals with certified ones.

    What conflict minerals actually are

    The term “conflict minerals” refers to tin, tantalum, tungsten, and gold—the “3TGs”—mined in conditions where the proceeds finance armed conflict or the minerals are extracted through forced labor. The designation originates from Section 1502 of the 2010 Dodd-Frank Act, which required U.S.-listed companies to disclose whether their products contained minerals sourced from the DRC or adjoining countries. Cobalt was not included in the original definition, though it arguably should have been—the same armed groups, child labor networks, and supply chain opacity that characterize 3TG extraction apply to cobalt with equal or greater force.

    Coltan—short for columbite-tantalite—is processed into tantalum, a heat-resistant metal used in capacitors for mobile phones, computers, medical equipment, and aerospace components. Cobalt is essential for the cathodes in lithium-ion batteries. Together, these two minerals account for a disproportionate share of the DRC’s strategic value and a disproportionate share of its human suffering. Of the estimated 255,000 Congolese mining cobalt, approximately 40,000 are children, some as young as six, working with hand tools for less than $2 per day.

    The 2025 escalation

    The M23 offensive that captured Goma in January 2025 represented the most serious military escalation in the DRC’s eastern provinces in over two decades. The fall of the provincial capital—home to over a million people—triggered a humanitarian crisis that displaced at least 100,000 from camps in the volatile east on top of the millions already displaced by decades of conflict. M23 and allied forces now control North and South Kivu, bordering Rwanda and Burundi, and much of Ituri province with its lucrative gold mines bordering Uganda.

    The mineral dimension of the conflict is not incidental. A UN official told the Security Council that coltan trade from Rubaya’s mines generates an estimated $300,000 per month in revenue for M23. Updated estimates from other UN reporting suggest the figure may be closer to $800,000 per month. “It’s not a coincidence that the zones occupied by the rebels are mining areas,” said Patrick Okenda, a researcher at Global Witness. “It takes money to wage war. Access to mining sites finances the war.”

    Rwanda’s role is particularly complicated. President Paul Kagame has acknowledged that minerals flow through Rwanda from the DRC but frames it as smuggling rather than state-sponsored extraction. A 2024 UN report documented that Uganda falsely labels DRC-sourced minerals as domestic exports. Between 2020 and 2021, Uganda exported $2.25 billion in gold despite minimal domestic production. The U.S. Treasury Department reported in 2022 that over 90 percent of the DRC’s gold was being smuggled to regional states, particularly Rwanda and Uganda, before being refined and exported to international markets through the UAE.

    The Washington Accords

    The Trump administration intervened directly in the conflict under the framework of securing critical mineral access. In June 2025, Secretary of State Marco Rubio hosted DRC and Rwandan officials to initial a preliminary accord. In December 2025, the Washington Accords for Peace and Prosperity were signed at a presidential summit, witnessed by the leaders of Angola, Kenya, and Burundi.

    The accords explicitly tied peace negotiations to mineral access for U.S. corporations. The Modern War Institute at West Point published an analysis describing the arrangement as a potential “cobalt quagmire,” warning that Washington risked being drawn into a proxy war in some of Africa’s deadliest terrain. The DRC’s President Tshisekedi had solicited a formal security pact—effectively trading mineral access for American military support—and the analysis noted that “factors that make [the DRC] an attractive node in a critical mineral supply strategy, such as resource abundance and a transactional head of state, also make it a risky place to do business.”

    European private military contractors had already failed in the theater. Several hundred Romanian contractors deployed across eastern DRC from 2022 to 2025. When M23 captured Goma, nearly 300 of them were surrounded and captured, paraded before media, and eventually repatriated through Rwanda.

    The export quota system

    In February 2025, the DRC government suspended cobalt exports for four months to address market oversupply—cobalt prices had been depressed by overproduction and reduced demand from battery chemistry shifts toward lithium iron phosphate (LFP) cathodes, which use no cobalt. In October 2025, the government introduced export quotas: companies were allocated specific monthly export volumes, with a 10 percent royalty plus a 5 percent strategic minerals levy. A 9,600-tonne “strategic reserve” was placed under the control of ARECOMS, the DRC’s new mineral regulation authority. Companies that don’t use their full allocations lose them to the government reserve starting January 2026.

    The quota system represents the DRC’s most aggressive move to control its mineral wealth. Industry analysts at CRU Group described it as “a fundamental shift from market-based supply to government-controlled allocation.” The system also mandates electronic tracking of all mineral exports through the Better Sourcing Program, a partnership with RCS Global. Whether the tracking system can actually distinguish legally sourced cobalt from conflict-sourced cobalt in a country where “legal and illegal cobalt quickly mingle,” as the Institute for Security Studies’ Oluwole Ojewale described it, is the question on which the entire framework depends.

    The supply chain problem nobody has solved

    The DRC captures approximately 3 percent of the value in the battery and EV supply chain despite supplying 70 percent of the cobalt. Almost all cobalt mined in the DRC is shipped to China for refining—China processed 77 percent of the world’s cobalt in 2022. The DRC sells raw material. China sells batteries. The value multiplier between the two ends of the chain is roughly 20 to 1.

    The DRC has ambitions to move up the chain. A Bloomberg study identified the DRC as a favorable location for battery precursor production—building a plant there would cost three times less than in the U.S. or China, cut supply-chain emissions by 30 percent, and keep more value in-country. The EU signed strategic partnerships with the DRC and Zambia on critical raw material value chains in 2023. The U.S., DRC, and Zambia signed a memorandum of understanding in 2022 to develop integrated EV battery production. None of these initiatives has yet produced a functioning refinery at scale in the DRC. The infrastructure gap—roads, electricity, skilled labor—remains enormous, and the security situation in the eastern provinces makes investment in processing capacity a proposition that requires either extraordinary risk tolerance or the kind of military guarantee that the Washington Accords are attempting to provide.

    Alternative cobalt sources are in development. Jervois Global’s Idaho Cobalt Operations targets 1,500 tonnes per year with a restart planned for Q2 2026. Fortune Minerals’ NICO Project in Canada has an estimated capacity of 1,728 tonnes per year. Global cobalt production is approximately 130,000 tonnes annually, overwhelmingly from the DRC. The alternative sources represent rounding errors.

    Battery chemistry is shifting. LFP cathodes—which contain no cobalt—are gaining market share, particularly in Chinese EVs and Tesla’s standard-range vehicles. But high-performance applications, particularly long-range EVs and consumer electronics, still require nickel-cobalt-manganese (NCM) or nickel-cobalt-aluminum (NCA) cathodes. Cobalt isn’t going away. The question is whether the supply chain that delivers it can be made less dependent on a country where 227 miners die in a landslide at a site controlled by a rebel militia backed by a neighboring government, and the coltan they extracted still makes it into your phone.

    The honest answer, in 2026, is no. Not yet. Possibly not soon.

    We cover the full geopolitics and chemistry of cobalt, coltan, lithium, and 33 other critical elements across our Rare Earth Elements & Critical Minerals course—including why the supply chain for the green energy transition runs through the deadliest conflict zone on earth.